SPATIAL SPILLOVER EFFECTS OF THE EXPANSION OF EAST KALIMANTAN PROVINCE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18623/rvd.v23.6563Palabras clave:
Spatial Spillover, Regional Expansion, Moran’s I, Local Indicators of Spatial Association, East KalimantanResumen
This study examines the spatial spillover effects of administrative expansion in East Kalimantan, focusing on interregional economic interactions among districts and cities in East Kalimantan and North Kalimantan. Using panel data from 2010 to 2023, this research applies a spatial econometric approach. Spatial dependence is examined through Global Moran’s I and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA), while the Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR) and Spatial Error Model (SEM) are used to identify interregional linkages. The findings show that most economic and socio-demographic variables exhibit no significant global spatial autocorrelation, indicating that regional economic performance remains heterogeneous and is not strongly shaped by geographical proximity. However, LISA results reveal localized and temporary spatial interactions, particularly in resource-based regions during commodity boom periods. Several areas also appear as spatial outliers, reflecting divergent development patterns. These results suggest that spatial spillovers exist but are limited, unstable, and context-dependent. The study concludes that administrative expansion does not automatically produce strong and evenly distributed spillover effects. Therefore, regional development policies should strengthen interregional connectivity, economic diversification, and coordinated planning to reduce disparities.
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