HUMAN CAPITAL IN THE SYSTEM OF ENSURING THE TECHNOLOGICAL SOVEREIGNTY AND ECONOMIC SECURITY OF RUSSIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18623/rvd.v23.6339Keywords:
Technological Sovereignty, Economic Security, Human Capital, Innovative Activity, Technological Autonomy, Scenario Analysis, Industrial PolicyAbstract
The article explores the technological sovereignty of Russia as a factor of economic security with an emphasis on the role of human capital in sustainable scientific, technological, and production capacity. The purpose of the study was to quantify the dynamics of technological sovereignty in 2018–2024 and to build a trajectory scenario of its change to 2036. The methodological foundation included statistical analysis, a system of private indicators, their normalization, integral assessment, and scenario modeling. The design model incorporated the indicators of knowledge intensity, patent activity, technological employment, innovative engagement of industry, technological autonomy, and the provision of personnel training and infrastructure. The obtained results indicate a rise in technological sovereignty in 2018–2020, an increase in vulnerability in 2021–2022, and partial adaptation in 2023–2024. The research provides substantiation that human capital is not an auxiliary but a backbone condition for strengthening technological sovereignty, since personnel and research resources define the ability of the economy not only to produce but also to master, scale, and replicate critical technologies.
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