THE STRATEGIC PLANNING OF REGIONAL ECONOMIES IN A MULTIPOLAR WORLD: NEW ENVIRONMENTAL-LEGAL CRITERIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18623/rvd.v23.6852Keywords:
Multipolar World, Strategic Planning, Energy Invariants, Environmental-Legal Criteria, Sustainable Development, Useful Power, Technological Excellence, Quality of Life, Extrapolation Trap, Energy SovereigntyAbstract
In the third decade of the 21st century, the transition to a multipolar world order architecture exposes the systemic insufficiency of monetary strategic planning tools for regional economies. Reliance on GDP and derivative financial aggregates creates an "extrapolation trap"-a methodological distortion where linear financial trends are mechanically projected into the future, ignoring the nonlinear dynamics of natural-scientific systems and biosphere limits. This article substantiates a system of new environmental-legal criteria for strategic planning based on physical invariants: useful power, the coefficient of technological excellence, the structural tension index, and quality of life in energy units. The methodological foundation is a natural-scientific approach to economics within the "Nature–Society–Human" system and the power change analysis model for socio-economic systems. The proposed system of criteria is verified using data from the USA, Scandinavian and Baltic countries, and new industrial economies for the period 1990–2022. The results reveal a significant discrepancy between traditional economic ratings and ranking by physical invariants. The study justifies a three-level system for the normative consolidation of these criteria, the "Triplex" model as a protocol for the energy expertise of strategic initiatives, and the category of "energy sovereignty" as a constituting principle of regional law in a multipolar world.
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