THE ROLE OF ESG PERFORMANCE IN REDUCING STOCK PRICE CRASH RISK: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA’S A-SHARE MARKET

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18623/rvd.v22.n3.3439

Keywords:

ESG, Stock Price Crash Risk, Digital Transformation, Corporate Financial Performance, China’s A-Share Market

Abstract

In recent years, stock price crashes have frequently occurred in China’s capital market, undermining investor confidence and threatening market stability. Identifying the determinants and preventive mechanisms of stock price crashes has become a critical research priority. In this context, the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance on stock price crash risk has attracted increasing attention from both academics and practitioners. Grounded in information asymmetry theory, agency theory, signaling theory, and stakeholder theory, this study investigates the relationship between corporate ESG performance and stock price crash risk. It further examines the moderating effect of digital transformation and the mediating role of corporate financial performance, measured by return on assets (ROA). The analysis is based on 16,297 firm-year observations from A-share listed companies during 2018-2023, with regressions controlling for industry and year fixed effects. The empirical results indicate that ESG performance significantly reduces the likelihood of stock price crashes, digital transformation strengthens this effect, and financial performance partially mediates the link between ESG and stock crash risk. These findings deepen the understanding of how ESG influences market stability and offer practical insights for promoting sustainable and transparent capital markets in emerging economies such as China.

References

Ademi, B., & Klungseth, N. J. (2022). Does it pay to deliver superior ESG performance? Evidence from US S&P 500 companies. Journal of Global Responsibility, 13(4), 421–449. https://doi.org/10.1108/jgr-01-2022-0006

Agoraki, M. E. K., Giaka, M., Konstantios, D., & Patsika, V. (2023). Firms? sustainability, financial performance, and regulatory dynamics: Evidence from European firms. Journal of International Money and Finance, 131, Article 102785. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102785

Akerlof, G. A., Spence, A. M., & Stiglitz, J. E. (2001). Markets with Asymmetric information. Nobel Foundation.

Alves, C. F., & Meneses, L. L. (2024). ESG scores and debt costs: Exploring indebtedness, agency costs, and financial system impact. International Review of Financial Analysis, 94, 103240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103240

Billio, M., Costola, M., Hristova, I., Latino, C., & Pelizzon, L. (2021). Inside the ESG ratings: (Dis)agreement and performance [Article]. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 28(5), 1426–1445. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2177

Buallay, A. (2022). Sustainability reporting and retail sector performance: worldwide evidence. The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research, 32, 311–330. https://doi.org/10.1080/09593969.2022.2048410

Cai, C., Tu, Y., & Li, Z. (2023). Enterprise digital transformation and ESG performance. Finance Research Letters, 58, Article 104692. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104692

Camodeca, R., & Almici, A. (2021). Digital Transformation and Convergence toward the 2030 Agenda’s Sustainability Development Goals: Evidence from Italian Listed Firms. Sustainability, 13(21).

Chen, J., Hong, H., & Stein, J. C. (2001). Forecasting crashes: Trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 61(3), 345–381.

Chen, S., & Alexiou, C. (2025). Digital Transformation as a Catalyst for Resilience in Stock Price Crisis: Evidence from A 'New Quality Productivity' Perspective. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-025-09517-7

Chen, Z., & Xie, G. (2022). ESG disclosure and financial performance: Moderating role of ESG investors. International Review of Financial Analysis, 83, 102291.

Cheng, Y., & Li, H. (2025). The impact of ESG performance on corporate digital transformation. Environment Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-025-06012-x

Commission, N. D. a. R. (2021). The Outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development (2021–2025) and Long-Range Objectives through the Year 2035 of the People’s Republic of China.

da Cunha, Í. G. F., Policarpo, R. V. S., de Oliveira, P. C. S., Abdala, E. C., & do Nascimento Rebelatto, D. A. (2025). A systematic review of ESG indicators and corporate performance: proposal for a conceptual framework. Future Business Journal, 11(1), 106. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00539-1

Deng, B., Peng, Z., & Huang, K. ESG rating declines and stock price crash risk. Applied Economics Letters, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2024.2448250

Dumitrescu, A., & Zakriya, M. (2021). Stakeholders and the stock price crash risk: What matters in corporate social performance? Journal of Corporate Finance, 67, 101871. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101871

Eliwa, Y., Aboud, A., & Saleh, A. (2021). ESG practices and the cost of debt: Evidence from EU countries. Critical Perspectives on Accounting, 79, Article 102097. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpa.2019.102097

Freeman, R. E. (1983). Strategic management: A stakeholder approach. Cambridge university press.

Gao, J., Chu, D., Zheng, J., & Ye, T. (2022). Environmental, social and governance performance: Can it be a stock price stabilizer? Journal of Cleaner Production, 379, Article 134705. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134705

Gong, C., & Ribiere, V. (2021). Developing a unified definition of digital transformation. Technovation, 102, 102217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2020.102217

Graham, J. R., Harvey, C., & Rajgopal, S. (2006). Value Destruction and Financial Reporting Decisions. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(6), 27.

Guo, X., & Pang, W. (2025). The impact of digital transformation on corporate ESG performance. Finance Research Letters, 72, 106518.

Habib, A., Hasan, M. M., & Jiang, H. (2018). Stock price crash risk: review of the empirical literature. Accounting & Finance, 58(S1), 211–251. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12278

Hao, J., Sun, R., Gong, X., & Zhu, X. (2025). ESG and stock price crash risk revisited: Evidence from mandatory ESG disclosure policy in China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 91, Article 102729. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102729

Hu, J., Zou, Q., & Yin, Q. (2023). Research on the effect of ESG performance on stock price synchronicity: Empirical evidence from China's capital markets. Finance Research Letters, 55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103847

Huang, J., Li, Y., & Han, F. (2024). Walk well and talk well: Impact of the consistency of ESG performance and disclosure on firms' stock price crash risk. International Review of Economics & Finance, 93, 1154–1174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2024.03.067

Husna, A., & Satria, I. (2019). Effects of return on asset, debt to asset ratio, current ratio, firm size, and dividend payout ratio on firm value. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 9(5), 50–54.

Hutton, A. P., Marcus, A. J., & Tehranian, H. (2009). Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk. Journal of Financial Economics, 94(1), 67–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.10.003

Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs, and Ownership Structure. In K. Brunner (Ed.), Economics Social Institutions: Insights from the Conferences on Analysis & Ideology (pp. 163–231). Springer Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-9257-3_8

Jiang, F., Ma, T., & Zhu, F. (2024). Fundamental characteristics, machine learning, and stock price crash risk. Journal of Financial Markets, 69, 100908. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100908

Jin, L., & Myers, S. C. (2006). R2 around the world: New theory and new tests. Journal of Financial Economics, 79(2), 257–292.

Karasan, A., Alp, O. S., & Weber, G.-W. (2025). Machine learning approach to stock price crash risk. Annals of Operations Research, 350(3), 1053–1074. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-025-06596-7

Khalil, M. A., Khalil, S., & Sinliamthong, P. (2024). From ratings to resilience: The role and implications of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance in corporate solvency. Sustainable Futures, 8, 100304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100304

Khan, M. (2019). Corporate Governance, ESG, and Stock Returns around the World. Financial Analysts Journal, 75(4), 103–123. https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198x.2019.1654299

Kim, J.-B., Li, Y., & Zhang, L. (2011). Corporate tax avoidance and stock price crash risk: Firm-level analysis. Journal of Financial Economics, 100(3), 639–662. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2010.07.007

Kim, S., & Li, Z. (2021). Understanding the impact of ESG practices in corporate finance. Sustainability, 13(7), 3746.

Li, Q., Tang, W., & Li, Z. (2024b). ESG systems and financial performance in industries with significant environmental impact: a comprehensive analysis [Original Research]. Frontiers in Sustainability, Volume 5 - 2024. https://doi.org/10.3389/frsus.2024.1454822

Li, Y., Zheng, Y., Li, X., & Mu, Z. (2024a). The impact of digital transformation on ESG performance. International Review of Economics & Finance, 96, Article 103686. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2024.103686

Li, Z., Chen, Y., & Li, Y. (2023). Top management abnormal turnover and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China. International Review of Financial Analysis, 89, 102817. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102817

Liang, Z., & Zhao, Y. (2024). Enterprise digital transformation and stock price crash risk. Finance Research Letters, 59, Article 104802. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104802

Lin, B., & Zhang, Q. (2023). Corporate environmental responsibility in polluting firms: Does digital transformation matter? Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 30(5), 2234–2246. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2480

Liu, H., Duan, H., & Li, M. (2024a). Enterprise digital transformation and ESG performance. Energy & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1177/0958305x241246186

Liu, H., Zhang, X., & He, Y. (2025). Digital Transformation and ESG Performance-Empirical Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies. Sustainability, 17(13), Article 6165. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17136165

Liu, H., Zhu, J., & Cheng, H. (2024b). Enterprise digital transformation's impact on stock liquidity: A corporate governance perspective. Plos One, 19(3), Article e0293818. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0293818

Lu, Y., Xu, C., Zhu, B., & Sun, Y. (2023). Digitalization transformation and ESG performance: Evidence from China [Article]. Business Strategy and the Environment. https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.3494

Luo, W., Tian, Z., Fang, X., & Deng, M. (2024). Can good ESG performance reduce stock price crash risk? Evidence from Chinese listed companies. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, 31(3), 1469–1492. https://doi.org/10.1002/csr.2646

Meng, T., Dato Haji Yahya, M. H., Ashhari, Z. M., & Yu, D. (2023a). ESG performance, investor attention, and company reputation: Threshold model analysis based on panel data from listed companies in China. Heliyon, 9(10), e20974. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20974

Meng, Y., Shen, D., & Xiong, X. (2023b). When stock price crash risk meets fundamentals. Research in International Business and Finance, 65, 101975. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.101975

Morakanyane, R., Grace, A. A., & O'reilly, P. (2017). Conceptualizing digital transformation in business organizations: A systematic review of literature.

Nguyen, D. T., Hoang, T. G., & Tran, H. G. (2022). Help or Hurt? The Impact of ESG on Firm Performance in S&P 500 Non-Financial Firms. Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal, 16(2), 91–102. https://doi.org/10.14453/aabfj.v16i2.7

Nguyen, Q. K., & Dang, V. C. (2023). Does the financial flexibility prevent stock price crash risk during COVID-19 crisis? Evidence from the Vietnamese stock market. Heliyon, 9(11), e22287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22287

Nguyen-Anh, T., Hoang-Duc, C., Nguyen-Thi-Thuy, L., Vu-Tien, V., Nguyen-Dinh, U., & To-The, N. (2022). Do intangible assets stimulate firm performance? Empirical evidence from Vietnamese agriculture, forestry and fishery small-and medium-sized enterprises. Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 7(3), 100194.

Pinheiro, A. B., Panza, G. B., Berhorst, N. L., Toaldo, A. M. M., & Segatto, A. P. (2023). Exploring the relationship among ESG, innovation, and economic and financial performance: evidence from the energy sector [Article]. International Journal of Energy Sector Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-02-2023-0008

Qi, Y., & Chu, X. (2022). Development of the digital economy, transformation of the economic structure and leaping of the middle-income trap. China Political Economy, 5(1), 14–39.

Reddy, S. K., & Reinartz, W. (2017). Digital transformation and value creation: Sea change ahead. NIM Marketing Intelligence Review, 9(1), 10–17.

Reid, D. (2019). One of China’s biggest pharma stocks is falling in value by 10% every day. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/08/chinas-kangmei-pharmaceutical-is-falling-in-value-by-10-percent-every-day.html

San, Z., Wang, S., Xiu, Z., Zhou, L., & Zhou, Z. (2025). Political control, corporate governance and stock-price crash risk: Evidence from China. Emerging Markets Review, 65, 101260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101260

Sharma, R., Chawla, S., Dagar, V., Kagzi, M., & Rao, A. (2025). SDG adoption and firm risk: The impact of ESG performance, investor confidence, and agency cost. International Review of Economics & Finance, 101, 104205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104205

Shen, H., Lin, H., Han, W., & Wu, H. (2023). ESG in China: A review of practice and research, and future research avenues. China Journal of Accounting Research, 100325.

Shi, Y., Zheng, S., Xiao, P., Zhen, H., & Wu, T. (2024). ESG performance and cost of debt. China Journal of Accounting Research, 17(4), 100390. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjar.2024.100390

Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010

SSE. (2024). Solicits Public Opinions on Guidelines No. 14 of Shanghai Stock Exchange for Self-Regulation of Listed Companies—Sustainability Report. SSE. http://english.sse.com.cn/news/newsrelease/c/c_20240222_10751120.shtml

Tang, H., Xiong, L., & Peng, R. (2024). The mediating role of investor confidence on ESG performance and firm value: Evidence from Chinese listed firms. Finance Research Letters, 61, 104988. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.104988

Tang, L., & Li, M. (2025). Is financial digitalization an effective strategy to prevent stock price crash? Finance Research Letters, 72, Article 106523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106523

Verhoef, P. C., Broekhuizen, T., Bart, Y., Bhattacharya, A., Qi Dong, J., Fabian, N., & Haenlein, M. (2021). Digital transformation: A multidisciplinary reflection and research agenda. Journal of Business Research, 122, 889–901. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2019.09.022

Wang, H., Jiao, S., Bu, K., Wang, Y., & Wang, Y. (2023). Digital transformation and manufacturing companies’ ESG responsibility performance. Finance Research Letters, 58, 104370.

Wang, J. P., Qinqin; Niu, mujiangqu; Guo, Yingzhe. (2021). Developer China Fortune Defaults on 5.3 Billion Yuan in Debt. Caixin Global. https://www.caixinglobal.com/2021-02-02/developer-china-fortune-defaults-on-53-billion-yuan-in-debt-101659497.html

Wang, N., & Zhang, C. (2024). The greed factor of executives and the risk of a company stock price crash. Finance Research Letters, 62, Article 105092. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105092

Wang, Y. (2018). Digital push to revitalize economy. China Daily. https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201809/27/WS5bac2ebea310eff30327fb53.html

Wang, Z., & Xing, T. (2025). ESG information disclosure, stock price informativeness and corporate digital transformation. Applied Economics, 57(6), 600–616.

Xie, J., Nozawa, W., Yagi, M., Fujii, H., & Managi, S. (2019). Do environmental, social, and governance activities improve corporate financial performance? Business Strategy and the Environment, 28(2), 286–300. https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.2224

Xu, N., Liu, J., & Dou, H. (2022). Environmental, social, and governance information disclosure and stock price crash risk: Evidence from Chinese listed companies. Frontiers in Psychology, 13, Article 977369. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.977369

Yang, P., Hao, X., Wang, L., Zhang, S., & Yang, L. (2023). Moving toward sustainable development: the influence of digital transformation on corporate ESG performance. Kybernetes, 53(2), 669–687. https://doi.org/10.1108/k-03-2023-0521

Ye, J. (2023). Shares in China's iFlyTek tumble after reports AI-powered device criticised Mao. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/technology/shares-chinas-iflytek-tumble-after-reports-ai-powered-device-criticised-mao-2023-10-24/

Yolanda, V., & Mita, A. F. (2025). Can Digital Transformation and Governance Control Managerial Opportunistic Behavior in Earnings Management? Jurnal Akuntansi, 29(1), 107–126.

Yousefi, H., Yung, K., & Najand, M. (2023). From low resource slack to inflexibility: The share price effect of operational efficiency. International Review of Financial Analysis, 90, 102927. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102927

Zadeh, M., & Hammami, A. (2025). ESG greenwashing and stock price crash risk: a channel analysis. Applied Economics. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2025.2521040

Zhang, M. Y., Lee Chyen (2018). China's Changsheng Bio-technology hit by heavy penalties in vaccine scandal. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/chinas-changsheng-bio-technology-hit-by-heavy-penalties-in-vaccine-scandal-idUSKCN1MQ1KI/

Zhang, P., Sha, Y., Wang, Y., & Wang, T. (2022). Capital market opening and stock price crash risk – Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 76, 101864. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101864

Zhang, P., & Wang, Y. (2025). Digital finance and stock price crash: Evidence from China. Emerging Markets Review, 66, Article 101287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101287

Zhang, X., Sun, X., & Gao, Y. (2025). Corporate sustainable development: ESG rating divergence and stock liquidity in China. Borsa Istanbul Review, 25(4), 746–755. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2025.04.002

Zhang, Y., Zhang, C., Zhang, S., Yang, Y., & Lan, K. (2024). Insight into the risk-resistant function of ESG performance: An organizational management perspective. Chinese Management Studies, 18(3), 818–846. https://doi.org/10.1108/cms-02-2023-0085

Zhang, Z., & Ding, Y. (2023). The impact of green financial development on stock price crash risk from the perspective of information asymmetry in Chinese listed companies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(37), 87199–87214. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-27771-y

Zhao, Y., Gao, Y., & Hong, D. (2025). Sustainable Innovation and Economic Resilience: Deciphering ESG Ratings’ Role in Lowering Debt Financing Costs. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 16(1), 4309–4343. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-024-02129-y

Zhong, Q., Song, Q., & Lee, C.-C. (2024). Managing crash risks through supply chain transparency: evidence from China. Financial Innovation, 10(1), 126. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00633-3

Zhou, X., Yang, Y., & Zhang, H. (2024). The curvilinear effect of environmental, social, and governance performance on stock price crash risk in China. Business Ethics the Environment & Responsibility. https://doi.org/10.1111/beer.12737

Downloads

Published

2025-10-30

How to Cite

Zhang, M., & Yaacob, Z. (2025). THE ROLE OF ESG PERFORMANCE IN REDUCING STOCK PRICE CRASH RISK: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA’S A-SHARE MARKET. Veredas Do Direito, 22, e223439. https://doi.org/10.18623/rvd.v22.n3.3439